Big Brother: Predicting The Winner - Who Is Dan Lying To?
Rankings by Ron Lemon
As of August 25, 2008
Spoiler Material Below
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I'm confused.
It's my job to rank the remaining hamsters and give you my thoughts on their chances of winning this game. This is the first time in 10 seasons of watching the show that I have not trusted my self to have a valid opinion this far into the game. I've not always been right, but by this far into the game I've been right more often than not. And yet I've still got to rank them and give you my opinions, so for what it's worth, here goes.
Who is Father Dan lying to? Memphis? Ollie? Renny and Keesha? The audience? Himself? All of the above? I don't know and that is the problem. To review: he made a deal with Ollie that he would nominate Memphis. He nominated Memphis and Jerry. The deal also included that if anybody came off the block via the Power of Veto, Ollie would get to name the replacement. Memphis has won the Power of Veto and will take himself off the block. So according to the deal Ollie would name the replacement and would probably go with Keesha. But Dan has told his fellow "Renegade" Memphis "you've got to trust me." He also told Memphis he is not going to honor the deal with Ollie and he is, in fact, going to nominate Michelle and that Michelle is the target. The old backdoor.
Maybe that was the plan from the beginning. Lie to Ollie's face to get him to drop off the bar. If that's it then I applaud the plan. This is a game of lies and I would rather see them played out in the open and would love to see Dan at the PoV Ceremony say, "Hey Ollie, I lied" and "Hey Michelle you're nominated." I'd love it. I'd see that as a smart play.
If that's not it then it may be the dumbest move since Marcellas didn't use the PoV to save himself and went home because of it.
Or maybe, he's just making it up as he goes along. Like I said, I'm confused.
Oh, and one more thing. Thursday night is a Double Eviction. The hamsters don't know that. What will happen if Michelle walks out the door and Ollie wins the HoH? He'll nominate Dan and Memphis. Yup. What about the others if they win the HoH? Just for the fun of it....
Keesha - Nominates Ollie and Jerry
Memphis - Nominates Ollie and Jerry
Renny - Nominates Ollie and Jerry
Jerry - Nominates Dan and Memphis
It's going be a great week!
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Memphis
Current Ranking: 1 Previous Ranking: 3
OK, let's give Dan the benefit of the doubt. Let's say he knows what he is doing and Memphis is safe and Michelle will go home. I'm moving Memphis to the lead because even if Dan's plan works I think Memphis, as well as Renny and Keesha are going to trust him less....and that is going to cost Dan. And that moves Memphis into the lead.
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Renny
Current Ranking: 2 Previous Ranking: 2
Renny remains in second by virtue of being the designated goat. The person that Dan or Memphis wants to take to final two knowing he will win the vote against her. I just don't expect this to change.
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Dan - Current Head of Household
Current Ranking: 3 Previous Ranking: 1
Dan moves down to third because even if Michelle goes home his alliance mates are going to wonder if he is lying to them. He'll still get far, but not far enough.
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Keesha
Current Ranking: 4 Previous Ranking: 4
Keesha is the weakest of the power four. Keesha does not annoy people as much as Renny does. That means Keesha will be the first of the four to go out. So that Renny will get fewer votes in the end against either Dan or Memphis.
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Jerry - Nominated For Eviction
Current Ranking: 5 Previous Ranking: 7
Jerry has really toned down his act in the last couple of weeks. He's learned his "Shut up and listen to me" attitude does not fly. He learned it too late. He alligned with the wrong side. He's out of the game and will probably end up on slop again. I actually feel sorry for him.
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Ollie
Current Ranking: 6 Previous Ranking: 6
He made a deal with Devil Dan and unless he wins the Head of Household on Thursday night he is the next target.
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Michelle - Nominated For Eviction As Relacement For Memphis
Current Ranking: 7 Previous Ranking: 5
She just doesn't get how much she irritates people. Like Jerry she alligned with the wrong group and they want her gone. I think Dan's plan is going to work and she is gone.
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Steven
2nd "Suck It Bitches" Eviction
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Another interesting night, we saw Jessie get voted out and finally they are starting to play the game. It is about time. Playing follow the leader is not a game for Big Brother. I have a feeling the game is going to have more drama and more fights. Alliances will change as people go home.
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