Survivor 33: The Illusion of Control Strategic and Tactical Analysis by Dr. EJ
September 25, 2016Will:A fairly quiet episode from what I saw. That bodes well in that you are not a current target. It also gives you options.
Staying quiet is in your best interest, but such strategy gives you tactical flexibility to pull people into your minority, or jump ship to the majority.
Meanwhile, over on Generation X:
Ken, Dave and Ce Ce: I am impressed. You saw the dangers of the status quo, and took advantage of opportunities presented to you.
Ken, your observation of “The Paul Party was good,” as was taking advantage to bring in Dave and Ce Ce.
Dave, you did what you needed to get along, while also finding the idol, and I think showing it to Ken was a good move.
Ce Ce, you had the opportunity to start forming a coup with Ken and Dave and you took it.
You can spread out the responsibility for a coup among the three of you, but tactically, you must decide who to bring in for your majority. I think Lucy and Bret would be best – they appear less committed to “Paul’s Party.” Sunday may also be an option.
Paul: You got a literal warning about how little you control last night – heed it! Start making nice with everyone in your tribe, including people you think need to go.
Confuse David by building up your alliance with him. Speak with stragglers Bret, Lucy, and Sunday to ensure they are still on board with you. You still have numbers and options, but only if you work them.
Sunday: I was concerned when you said how much your game revolved around Paul. That is too dependent.
Remember, you got a vote last time. You may think you are safe in the majority, but I think you need to pick up the social game, and spread out your contacts.
Bret, Lucy, Chris, and Jessica: Silence in this episode is not a bad thing, especially for Chris, who was more vocal in the first episode, triggering me to worry about him sabotaging his game. Since you are not the targets right now, you can observe, and see how things play out.
A little extra kindness towards those you think are going next, i. e. Dave and Ce Ce, wouldn’t hurt either. Obviously, given what I saw in the first episode from Jessica, I think her chances were enhanced the most by silence in the second episode.
As I write this, I am reminded how what I thought might happen one week is so completely different from what actually happens – a reminder of how quickly the game of Survivor – and life – can change.
That said, one can prepare, if not control, for outcomes. Keeping a finger on the pulse of all tribe members, i. e. building useful relationships with everyone, whether they are technically in your alliance or not, can be the key, though it has to be done carefully to minimize suspicion from others.
Who will do it best?
Tune in next week for more information, then read on here for updated strategic and tactical considerations.
Doctor EJ is a licensed clinical psychologist by trade, but his passions include the great game of Survivor, and its social machinations. He is also passionate about travel, and claims to fame include visiting all 50 US States, and losing 145 pounds, both of which are discussed at his blog, The Better Half's Travels at blogspot.com. He can be reached at email@example.com.
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